Mint Quick Edit | India’s economy is resilient in the face of headwinds

5 months ago 8
ARTICLE AD BOX

Copyright &copy HT Digital Streams Limited
All Rights Reserved.

India's high growth makes it stand out among the world's big economies. India's high growth makes it stand out among the world's big economies.

Summary

The Reserve Bank of India’s latest report on the economy makes for a reassuring read. Given the trade uncertainty that prevails, though, the real test may lie ahead.

In the face of new US tariffs, uncertainty over higher trade barriers and signs of stagnant domestic consumer demand, India’s economy broadly seems to be holding up well.

The Reserve Bank of India’s State of the Economy report captures its resilience.

Also read: Core inflation is back. What does it mean for India's monetary policy?

Credit for this is due to plentiful rainfall, which has brightened farm prospects, a robust services sector and industrial activity that has been uneven but growth-supportive.

Separately, the Asian Development Bank has forecast India’s economic growth at 6.5% in 2025-26.

Though this is a tad lower than its April forecast, it’s still good under the current circumstances.

Also read: The global economy is powering through a historic increase in tariffs

It makes India stand out among the world’s big economies.

That said, the months ahead could see turbulence if New Delhi’s trade negotiations with Washington do not deliver on expectations.

With America’s 1 August deadline for extra tariffs nearing, the chance of a quick trade deal look bleak.

That parleys have dragged on suggests several sticky points.

Also read: Tariff risk drives another round of Asia forecast downgrades

India’s government has rightly stated that it would brook no compromise of Indian interests.

What exactly this means can be debated, but we should perhaps brace for some disappointment .

Catch all the Business News, Market News, Breaking News Events and Latest News Updates on Live Mint. Download The Mint News App to get Daily Market Updates.

more

topics

Read Next Story footLogo

Read Entire Article